News, analysis and personal reflections on the markets & the financial sector

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

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Bill overhauling 401(k) rules clears House committee

The House Committee on Education and Labor approved a bill that would allow only independent financial advisers to counsel 401(k) account holders on investment decisions. The bill also calls for greater disclosure of fees charged by 401(k) plan administrators.

more at

Monday, June 29, 2009

Economic reports this week

June 29June 30July 1July 2July 3

- 4-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
- 3-Month Bill Auction
1:00 PM ET
- 6-Month Bill Auction
1:00 PM ET
- Farm Prices
3:00 PM ET

- Chicago PMI
9:45 AM ET
- Consumer Confidence
10:00 AM ET
- State Street Investor Confidence Index 10:00 AM ET
- Jim Bullard Speaks
12:00 PM ET
- 4-Week Bill Auction 1:00 PM ET
- 52-Week Bill Auction 1:00 PM ET
- Thomas Hoenig Speaks 4:10 PM ET
- Janet Yellen Speaks 9:00 PM ET


- Motor Vehicle Sales
- MBA Purchase Applications
7:00 AM ET
- Challenger Job-Cut Report
7:30 AM ET
- ADP Employment Report 8:15 AM ET
- ISM Mfg Index
10:00 AM ET
- Construction Spending
10:00 AM ET
- Pending Home Sales Index
10:00 AM ET
- EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET


- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET
- Jobless Claims
8:30 AM ET
- 30-Yr Bond Announcement
9:00 AM ET
- Factory Orders
10:00 AM ET
- EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
- 3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
- 6-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
- 3-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
- 10-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
- 10-Yr TIPS Announcement
11:00 AM ET
- Fed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ET
- Money Supply
4:30 PM ET


- US Holiday: Independence Day Observed

All Markets Closed


Sunday, June 28, 2009

Chinese Investor Pays $2.1M to Eat with Warren Buffett

A Chinese investment fund manager won the chance to have lunch with billionaire Warren Buffett by bidding $2.1 million in the most expensive charity auction ever held on eBay.

Zhao Danyang of the Hong Kong-based Pureheart China Growth Investment Fund won the auction, which ended Friday evening with a bid of $2,110,100.

A spokeswoman for the Glide Foundation, which receives all the proceeds from the auction, identified the winner Saturday.

It appears that Danyang and Buffett share a similar investment philosophy. But Danyang could not be reached Saturday, and no one answered the phone at Buffett’s Omaha office.

The auction will provide a significant boost to Glide, which provides social services to the poor and homeless in San Francisco. The foundation operates on a $12 million annual budget, spokeswoman Denise Lamott said.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Coffee stocks starting to perk up on Wall Street

While the broad market is struggling to hold its recent gains, shares of five of the largest publicly traded coffee companies are on a high boil.

Shares of Diedrich Coffee (DDRX) are up 4,525% this year, Green Mountain (GMCR) has doubled and even Starbucks (SBUX) is up 50%.

That shows that investors think consumers, despite the recession, still crave their coffee fix, though they're looking for ways to spend less, says Michael Podhorzer of research firm Sidoti. "Coffee is recession-resistant," he says. "Whether they go out for it or go to a grocery story, people will still buy their coffee."

Behind the coffee stock boom:

Do-it-yourself. Green Mountain is at the center of the make-your-own trend, as it makes popular single-serve coffeemakers under the Keurig brand name. Consumers drop a small coffee-filled pod in a machine, and coffee flows into a cup.

Green Mountain makes money selling the machines, but the replacement coffee pods, called K-Cups, are even more lucrative, says Jon Andersen at William Blair. Green Mountain's earnings in the first quarter doubled from a year earlier to $13 million.

Meanwhile, Green Mountain licenses other coffee companies to make K-Cups. Diedrich's stock has benefited because it is one licensed to make K-Cups, he says.

Cost control and better store traffic. Starbucks rose 3.3% to $14.16 Tuesday after Robert W. Baird analyst David Tarantino upgraded it to outperform, saying advertising helped boost coffeehouse visits. And a close eye on cutting costs improved profit upside for Starbucks, says Cowen analyst Colin Guheen.

Low share prices. It didn't take much confidence to make investors willing to take a shot on the stocks, because they were priced for disaster. Diedrich and Caribou Coffee (CBOU), for instance, started this year at less than $1.50 a share.

Some fear investors are in a caffeine-induced frenzy. Podhorzer is neutral on Peet's Coffee & Tea, (PEET) saying, "We don't really see any big problems, but we think it's fairly to slightly overvalued."

NYSE executes record-low 30% of country's trades in May

The New York Stock Exchange, which has been around for more than two centuries, executed only 30.2% of the nation's stock trades last month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Direct Edge Holdings and BATS Exchange -- not Nasdaq OMX -- were the beneficiaries of the shift. "When you are in a purely electronic marketplace, the fact that you're the original or the oldest guy standing doesn't mean anything anymore," said Michael Rosen, a senior vice president at UNX. "The people doing the trading aren't buying the story of the Nasdaq or the NYSE. They just want the fastest and best execution they can get at the lowest price."

more at

JPMorgan leads list of strongest banks worldwide

JPMorgan Chase moved from fourth last year to first this year on The Banker magazine's list of the strongest banks globally. The annual rankings are based on the amount of Tier 1 capital the banks hold. Bank of America, Citigroup, Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC round out the top five. Banks from China and Spain were the five most profitable financial institutions on the list.

more at

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

E-mini Gold and Silver Futures - Now Trading on CME Globex

Smaller Gold and Silver Futures, More Possibilities for Your Portfolio

E-mini Gold and E-mini Silver futures are now available on CME Globex. The contracts are roughly 1/3 and 1/5 of the standard contracts, which serve as the global benchmarks for gold and silver pricing. At 33 troy oz. (approximately 1 kilo) for Gold and 1,000 troy oz. for Silver, these E-mini futures offer customers several important benefits, including:

  • Direct exposure to the price of gold/silver with smaller contracts and lower risks to diversify
    your portfolio
  • Cash-settlement
  • Access to the most liquid metals futures market in the world
  • Availability around the clock, around the world on the CME Globex electronic trading platform
  • Security through centralized clearing, guaranteed counterparty credit and segregation of customer funds
  • Price transparency, giving all market participants equal access while maintaining anonymity in all bids and offers

Note: The first listed month will be June 2009.

For a complete list of contract specifications, please click here.

Roth IRA : New tax rules



New tax rules are about to give more people access to a Roth IRA, one of the best savings plans for later life. Here’s how the changes work—and how to get ready.


Robert Woods has been “chomping at the bit,” he says, to open a Roth individual retirement account. Next year, the 54-year-old American Airlines pilot finally will get the chance.
Starting Jan. 1, the income limits that have prevented many individuals, including Mr. Woods, from converting a traditional IRA or employer-sponsored retirement plan to a Roth will be eliminated. The change—one of the biggest and most important on the IRA landscape in years—will widen the entryway to one of the best deals in retirement planning. With a Roth IRA, virtually all income growth and withdrawals are tax-free.

The new rules come at a time when many IRAs have plummeted in value, meaning the taxes on such conversions (and you do pay taxes when you convert) will likely be lower, as well. And with taxes at all levels expected to rise in coming years, the idea of an account that’s safe from tax increases appeals to many people heading into retirement.
“It’s potentially quite a big deal,” says Joel Dickson, a principal with Vanguard Group in Valley Forge, Pa. “We’re getting a lot of questions, and investors certainly should be thinking about it.”
Here’s a look at how the new rules work, how to take advantage of them—and the possible pitfalls.

Nuts and Bolts
At the moment, many people make too much money to use Roths. Individuals whose modified adjusted gross income for 2009 is $120,000 or more can’t contribute. For couples who file joint tax returns, the cutoff is $176,000.
You aren’t allowed to convert traditional IRA assets to a Roth if your household’s modified adjusted gross income exceeds $100,000. A married person who files a separate tax return is prohibited from converting—no matter how much or how little he or she makes, says Ed Slott, an IRA consultant in Rockville Centre, N.Y.
But while the income limits for funding a Roth will remain, the rules for conversions are about to change.
As part of the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act enacted in 2006, the federal government is eliminating permanently, starting Jan. 1, the $100,000 income limit for Roth conversions, as well as the restriction on spouses who file separate tax returns. That should make it easier for people with higher incomes to invest through Roth accounts. The changes also should enable more retirees—who rolled over their holdings from 401(k)s and other workplace savings plans into IRAs—to convert to Roths.
Of course, there’s still the matter of taxes. When you convert assets from a traditional IRA or workplace plan to a Roth, you have to pay income tax on all pretax contributions and earnings included in the amount you convert.
The law does provide some wiggle room, however: You can report the amount you convert in 2010 on your tax return for that year. Or, you can spread the amount converted equally across your 2011 and 2012 tax returns, paying any resulting tax in those years. For example, if you convert $50,000 next year and choose not to declare the conversion on your 2010 return, you must declare $25,000 on your tax return for 2011 and $25,000 on you return for 2012. The two-year option is a one-time offer for 2010 conversions.
The fact that Uncle Sam is allowing you to stretch out your tax bill could help people who convert keep their nest eggs intact. Financial planners uniformly say it makes no sense to convert to a Roth unless you can pay the taxes from a source other than your IRA. If you need to tap your IRA for the tax money, you’re defeating, in part, the purpose of the conversion: to maximize the long-term value of the Roth.
One other note: If you are age 70½ or older and taking required minimum distributions from a traditional IRA or workplace plan, you can’t convert that required withdrawal to a Roth. However, after you take your required minimum distribution for the year, you can convert remaining traditional IRA assets to a Roth. For 2009, Congress has waived required withdrawals in an attempt to help retirees rebuild savings. But required withdrawals resume in 2010.
So, if you’re over the income limits for contributing to a Roth, what’s the simplest way to fund one when the conversion rules change? If you haven’t already done so, open a traditional IRA (which has no income limits), contribute the maximum amount allowable ($6,000 in 2009 for individuals age 50 and older), and convert the assets to a Roth next year.
John Blanchard, a 41-year-old executive recruiter in Des Moines, Iowa, has “maxed out” IRA contributions for himself and his wife since 2006 in anticipation of the 2010 rule change. He plans to convert about $34,000 in holdings next year. “If they would let me do more, I would do more,” he says. “This planning is purely for retirement.”
You could continue this strategy each year after that—opening a traditional IRA and converting it to a Roth. In fact, you would have to use this approach if your income exceeds the limits for making Roth contributions.
But how do you do this—over a number of years—without winding up with multiple Roth accounts? Mr. Slott recommends holding two Roths. When you first convert the assets, put them in your “new” Roth. That way, if that holding suffers a loss in the first year, you can recharacterize it as a traditional IRA so you don’t have to pay tax on value that no longer exists. (More on that below.) If the account increases in value before that deadline expires, you could then transfer the assets to your “old” Roth—after the time to recharacterize expires. Each year, you could repeat those two steps.
Why It’s a Good Idea…
Why convert? Roth IRAs have several big advantages over traditional IRAs:
  • For the most part, withdrawals are tax-free, as long as you meet rules for minimum holding periods. Specifically, you have to hold a Roth IRA for five years and be at least age 59½ for withdrawals to be tax-free. Early withdrawals are subject to penalties.
  • There are no required distributions. With traditional IRAs, you must begin tapping your account after reaching age 70½. In doing so, you increase your taxable income starting in your 70s.
  • Your heirs don’t owe income tax on withdrawals. That can be a big deal for middle-aged beneficiaries earning big paychecks. One caveat: Roth beneficiaries do have to take distributions across their life expectancies, and Roth assets are still included in an estate’s value.
The fact that anyone who inherits a Roth could make withdrawals with no income tax has led some older adults to consider Roth conversions as an alternative to life insurance. Jonathan Mazur, a financial planner in Dallas, already has suggested that strategy to Shayne Keller, a 55-year-old semi-retired telecommunications consultant. Mr. Keller’s heart disease has made it tough for him to get life insurance. Instead, he’s now planning to convert a traditional IRA worth about $300,000 to a Roth, and then name his two grandchildren as the Roth’s beneficiaries.
Another big advantage: A Roth IRA provides what many financial planners refer to as tax diversification.
“In the future, when you’re going to be taking assets out of your account, you don’t know what your personal situation is going to be, and you don’t know what tax rates are going to be,” says Sean Cunniff, a research director in the brokerage and wealth-management service at TowerGroupin Needham, Mass. “So, if you already have a taxable account, like a brokerage account or mutual funds, and you have a tax-deferred account like a 401(k) or traditional IRA, adding a tax-free account gives you the most flexibility” to keep taxes low in retirement.
…And Why It’s Not as Easy as It Looks
The trickiest part of paying the tax for a Roth conversion involves the IRS’s pro-rata rule. In short, you can’t cherry-pick which assets you wish to convert.
Let’s say you have a rollover IRA (from an employer’s 401(k) plan) with a balance of $200,000, and an IRA with $50,000. The latter contains $40,000 in nondeductible contributions made over a number of years. As much as you might wish, you can’t convert the $40,000 alone—tax-free—to a Roth IRA.
Rather, you have to follow the pro-rata rule. The IRS says you must first add the balance in all your IRAs—in this case, $250,000. Then you divide nondeductible contributions by that balance: $40,000 divided by $250,000. This gives you the percentage—16%, in our example—of any conversion that’s tax-free. So, let’s say you want to convert $30,000 of your two IRAs to a Roth. The amount of the conversion that would be tax-free would be $4,800 ($30,000 x 0.16).
“If you’re thinking about doing a Roth conversion, leave your 401(k) alone” rather than rolling it into an IRA beforehand to keep your share of nondeductible contributions higher in the calculation above, says John Carl, president of the Retirement Learning Center LLC in New York, which works with investment advisers. And if you’ve already rolled over your 401(k) into a traditional IRA, you may want to roll it back—a move that many employer plans allow, he adds.
Perhaps the toughest part of all this is “gathering the data”—showing which of your past IRA contributions were deductible and nondeductible, says Kevin Heyman, a certified financial planner in Newport News, Va. “You have to keep one heck of a record to know which IRAs were nondeductible over the years.”
It’s involved, but possible, to reconstruct your after-tax basis in a traditional IRA, and it makes sense to do it now so you can weigh whether to convert to a Roth in 2010, says Mr. Slott, the IRA consultant.
First stop: tax returns you still have. You’re supposed to keep a running record of nondeductible IRA contributions on IRS Form 8606 and file it with your tax return. If you haven’t done so, you can either buy back your old tax returns from the IRS, using Form 4506, or you can order a free transcript of everything that’s reported about you to the IRS, using Form 4506-T. Included in your transcript is information from IRS Form 5498, which reports contributions you made to an IRA. Other resources are year-end statements from your IRA custodian.
As mentioned above, you should be able to pay any tax involved from a source other than the IRA itself to make the conversion worthwhile. Some retirees already are setting up piggy banks for that purpose. “I’m putting my savings plan together so we have money to pay for the tax,” says Marjorie Hagen, 60, a retired postmaster in Minneapolis. She and her husband plan to convert at least $150,000 in IRA assets next year to give them “more control and flexibility,” she says.
An IRA withdrawal made simply to pay taxes on a Roth conversion could be a particularly bad move for battered investments because you’d be locking in losses. And if you’re under age 59½, you would get dinged with a 10% penalty for withdrawing IRA assets at the time of the conversion. The silver lining, of course, is that those battered investments probably would be taxed at relatively low value, meaning any tax you have to pay should be relatively low, as well.
Indeed, tax rates—what you’re paying now and what you might pay in the future—invariably complicate decisions about whether to convert. Linda Duessel, a market strategist at Federated Investors Inc., an investment-management firm in Pittsburgh, points out that the income tax you pay on a Roth conversion while you’re working would be at your top rate, since it’s added to your regular income. But in retirement, when IRA distributions presumably would help take the place of a paycheck, you’d be paying tax at your “effective” rate, or the total tax you pay divided by your taxable income.
If you expect your income to be lower in retirement—and tax rates to stay about where they are—then a Roth conversion might not make sense. The upshot: Whether you convert or not basically depends on what you expect to happen with your income in retirement, compared with your income while working, and whether you’re more comfortable paying taxes sooner at current rates or betting on lower taxes later.
Strategies to Consider
What’s the best way to take advantage of the rule change? First, keep in mind that you don’t have to convert your entire IRA next year. You can do it piecemeal, as you can afford it, over a number of years. A Roth conversion “isn’t an all-or-nothing option,” says TowerGroup’s Mr. Cunniff. If you hold traditional IRAs made up largely of pretax contributions, such as a 401(k) rollover, your tax bill could be steep. One way to mitigate the tax-bill pain is to get your accountant to help you figure out how much you could convert within your current tax bracket each year without bumping yourself into a higher one.
It’s also a good idea to put converted holdings in a new account, rather than an existing Roth. Here’s why: If the value of your converted assets falls further—after you have paid taxes on their value—you can change your mind, “recharacterize” the account as a traditional IRA, and, in turn, no longer owe the tax. Later on, you could reconvert the assets to a Roth again. (See IRS Publication 590 for the timing details.) This dilutes the tax benefit if you’ve combined those converted assets with other Roth holdings that have appreciated in value.
In fact, you might consider opening a separate Roth for each type of investment you make with the converted money. That way, you could “cherry-pick the losers,” recharacterizing investments that perform poorly, suggests Mr. Slott. Let’s say you made two types of investments—one that doubled in value and another that lost everything. If those investments were in the same Roth, the account value would appear unchanged. But if they were in separate accounts, you could recharacterize the one that suffered—and allow the one doing well to continue appreciating in value as a Roth.
Some owners of IRAs that hold variable annuities with depressed account values are planning to convert those investments to Roth IRAs as well. The current value of the underlying investments in their variable annuities has fallen below their income benefit or death benefit. In that situation, if you convert to a Roth, you’d pay tax on the lower account value—and potentially get a higher benefit in the future tax-free.
Still, if you have a variable annuity and you’re considering a Roth conversion, make sure you value the account according to the latest IRS rules, Mr. Slott cautions. The IRS cracked down on annuity holders using “artificially deflated” variable-annuity values in Roth conversions a few years ago to lower their taxes, he says. “The IRS ruled that you have to get the actual fair-market value of the account from the insurance company and use that number.”
What You Should Do Now
There are a few ways to get ready for next year. Again, as noted above, if you have money to invest, consider funding an IRA before Dec. 31. That way, you can convert those assets to a Roth as soon as Jan. 2.
Also locate and organize your paperwork for any nondeductible IRA contributions you’ve made in the past. By taking that step, you should be able to come up with an estimate of how much of your potential conversion would be taxable. If you expect your 2010 income to be similar to this year’s, you can look up the tax brackets at www.irs.gov to get a ballpark idea of the taxes involved.
Next comes the tough part: Identifying ways to pay those taxes with money outside of your IRA.
To think through all the moving parts, it may help to consult a financial planner or accountant who has extensive experience working with retirees relying on IRAs. The tax rules governing IRAs are intricate, nonintuitive, and arcane. One misstep can unwind a tax-deferred nest egg in a way you might not have intended.
For example, if you’re already taking regular, so-called 72(t) retirement payments, which allow IRA holders to make “substantially equal” withdrawals penalty-free before age 59½, converting that IRA to a Roth is even trickier, Mr. Slott says. The new Roth can contain no other Roth IRA assets, and the 72(t) payments must be continued from the Roth—but no 72(t) payments from the traditional IRA can be converted to the Roth. And if you have company stock in your 401(k), you might wind up with a lower tax bill if you withdraw the stock from the account before doing an IRA rollover and Roth conversion, he adds.
Seek out online tools to help you devise your conversion strategy as well. One resource is Mr. Slott’s Web site, www.irahelp.com, which has a discussion forum where consumers can post questions about Roth IRA conversions and get answers from investment advisers who specialize in IRA distribution work.
At least one free, interactive calculator has been developed to help people think through the decision. Convergent Retirement Plan Solutions LLC, a retirement-services consulting firm in Brainerd, Minn., released a Roth Conversion Optimizer calculator in May for investment advisers with Archimedes Systems Inc., a Waltham, Mass., maker of financial-planning software. A consumer version of the calculator is available at www.RothRetirement.com.
“For the vast majority of middle America, the question is, ‘What’s the best portion of my IRA to put into a Roth?”’ says Ben Norquist, president of Convergent.
The calculator takes several factors into account, including your income needs from retirement assets, future tax rates and the portion of your assets you convert to a Roth. Then, it crunches those variables to show you, using a simple bar graph, the impact of a Roth conversion on your future assets.
One caveat: With any calculator that lets you adjust the future tax rate, as this one does, it’s easy to manipulate the answer if you’re predisposed to doing a conversion now—or avoiding it because you don’t want to pay the resulting tax bill, Mr. Slott says.
Still, the calculator does help you pin down the answer to the big question you should answer for yourself this year, Mr. Norquist says: “If I can take a portion of my assets and shift them over to a Roth, am I going to sleep better knowing they can’t be touched by future tax increases?” If your answer is “yes,” it’s time to start digging out records and number-crunching.

Monday, June 22, 2009

NYSE acquires 20% stake in Qatar exchange

NYSE Euronext said it has invested $200 million in a rebranded stock exchange in Qatar.

The move gives the company a foothold in an energy-rich Persian Gulf nation that is trying to bill itself as a regional economic center for the Middle Eastern market.

NYSE Euronext and Qatar Holding, the investment arm of the Qatar Investment Authority, said their partnership will give rise to Qatar Exchange, the successor of the Doha Securities Market.

NYSE Euronext, the parent of the New York Stock Exchange, will provide the technology for the new exchange.


more at


Sunday, June 21, 2009

Economic reports this week (21 June 2009)

Date

Time*

Report

6-248:30 am

Durable Goods

6-242:15 PM FOMC Interest Rate Decision
6-258:30 am Final 1st QTR GDP

*All Times Eastern

The financial crisis and the dollar

In the face of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression and unprecedented U.S. policy actions, the U.S. dollar is still up 14 percent, against a trade-weighted basket of major currencies, from its all-time lows last year. On top of that, as you can see in the chart below, the dollar remains in an uptrend ...

Source: Bloomberg

Meanwhile, currencies in the BRIC region have been decimated, with the exception of China — which has manipulated its currency in a virtual flat-line against the dollar since the crisis commenced.

Today, even after some recovery, the Russian ruble remains down 35 percent, the Brazilian real is down 27 percent and the Indian rupee is down 23 percent versus the dollar.

But most importantly, from peak to trough these currencies lost 58 percent, 69 percent and 33 percent respectively against the dollar at the height of the crisis. Take a look at the second chart below, and you'll realize how drastic this fall was.

Source: Bloomberg

This underscores the vulnerability of these less developed, less dynamic economies and emphasizes the fragile nature of their financial markets and currencies.

Saturday, June 20, 2009

SEC to increase scrutiny of dark pools, Schapiro says

Mary Schapiro, chairwoman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, requested that her staff look closely at the effects of dark pools. "This lack of transparency has the potential to undermine public confidence in the equity markets, particularly if the volume of trading activity in dark pools increases substantially," Schapiro said.

more at

Allen Stanford Faces Massive Fraud Charges in Federal Court

* Stanford due in federal court in Virginia on Friday

* Expected to be sent to Houston to face criminal charges

* Surrendered to FBI on Thursday

* Accused in $8 billion fraud


RICHMOND, Va. - Texas billionaire Allen Stanford will appear in federal court in Virginia Friday to answer allegations he orchestrated a massive fraud through his Antigua bank that bilked investors out of millions of dollars.

Stanford, 59, arrived at the courthouse for a 1:30 EDT hearing before federal magistrate Hannah Lauck to face criminal charges after he surrendered to FBI agents in Virginia late on Thursday.

His case will be the first major financial crimes prosecution brought under the administration of President Barack Obama, who has vowed to crack down on economic malfeasance.

Stanford already faces civil charges brought by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that he fraudulently sold $8 billion in certificates of deposit with improbably high interest rates from his Stanford International Bank Ltd, headquartered in Antigua.

"He surrendered," Dick DeGuerin, Stanford's Texas attorney, told Reuters by telephone Thursday after speaking with his client. "He's in FBI custody."

Justice Department officials, including the U.S. attorney from Houston, plan to hold a news conference at noon EDT in Washington to announce the criminal charges, the U.S. attorney's office in Houston said.

Stanford, who holds dual U.S. and Antigua and Barbuda citizenship, denies any wrongdoing and has said he would put up "the fight of my life" if indicted.

"If the SEC had not come in and disemboweled a living, breathing strong organization the way they did, there's no question on God's green earth that everyone would have been made whole and we would have had a lot of money left over," Stanford told Reuters in an interview in April.


'MASSIVE PONZI SCHEME'

In its civil case, the SEC in February accused Stanford, his college roommate and three of their companies of carrying out a "massive Ponzi scheme" over at least a decade and misappropriating at least $1.6 billion of investors' money.

"This starts to bring closure for the victims," Jacob Frenkel, a former SEC enforcement official, said of the criminal indictment.

Stanford now faces concrete charges and "is no longer swinging at a pinata," said Frenkel, now an attorney in Rockville, Maryland.

Stanford, a golf and cricket promoter, is the first American to be knighted by Antigua and Barbuda in 2006. He made his first fortune in real estate in the early 1980s and expanded the family firm into a global wealth management company.

Before the SEC leveled the fraud charges, his personal fortune was estimated at $2.2 billion by Forbes magazine. Stanford was a generous sports patron and owned homes in Antigua, St. Croix, Florida and Texas.

To date, the only Stanford official to have faced criminal charges is Laura Pendergest-Holt, the chief investment officer for the Stanford Financial Group. She was arrested by the FBI in February and later freed on bail.

Pendergest-Holt and James Davis, Stanford's one-time roommate at Baylor University who served as the company's chief financial officer, were both named in the SEC's civil complaint.

Davis has not been charged with criminal activity and is cooperating with federal authorities, although his attorney has said he expects his client to be indicted.

Nigel Hamilton-Smith, the Antiguan official named to oversee the liquidation of the offshore bank that was run by Stanford, has accused the tycoon of using client funds to pay for jets, lavish homes and yachts.

Stanford's Antiguan liquidators and the company's U.S.-based receiver have been locked in a battle over control of the offshore bank.

Ralph Janvey, the Dallas lawyer appointed by U.S. District Judge David Godbey to oversee Stanford's assets and operations, has filed court papers arguing he should oversee the Antigua bank along with the U.S.-based Stanford entities he controls.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Global market performance YTD

This Day in Wall Street History 1934: 'Silver Purchase Act' is passed

President Franklin Roosevelt's first term in office was packed with busy days, and June 19, 1934, was certainly no exception.

Indeed, on this day Congress passed a veritable smorgasbord of legislation, including the "Silver Purchase Act." Along with nationalizing silver stocks, the bill charged the president with increasing the Treasury's silver supply.

Though silver was hardly about to supplant the gold standard, the legislation called for silver to equal one-third of the Treasury's gold holdings. And, while to some to the "Silver Act" was perhaps little more than another blip during Roosevelt's furious first term, the passage of the bill marked a rare victory for the long-suffering silver movement, which had pushed for the adoption of metal since the late 19th century.

Source: History.com

China Wealth Management Market Has Huge Potential

from URL: http://www.wallstreetandtech.com/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=217701274

Wealth management services from Chinese banks have huge potential, according to a new report from Celent.

The market is expected to reach US$700 billion in 2014, almost doubling what it was in 2007, according to the Boston-based financial research and consulting firm.

Growth in the wealth management market is being driven by a rapid increase in personal wealth. Other factors include an aging population increasingly concerned over their retirement, and a very high domestic savings rate.

According to a recent report in China Daily, economists estimate that the percentage of savings in a person's disposable income in China has remained between 30 and 40% in recent years " at least twice as high as in the U.S.

Growth in wealth management has also been fueled by the development of the financial markets, the opening of overseas financial markets to China, relaxed policies on mixed operation, and improved laws and regulations for the wealth management industry, Celent said in a release.

Still, the wealth management industry does face a number of challenges that are currently impeding it from growing even faster. These include undifferentiated products, lack of awareness of global asset allocation, customer privacy protection, customer wealth management and risk management, and the lack of high-caliber wealth management professionals.

Celent noted that at the end of 2007, there were 415,000 individuals in China with assets over $1 million, up 20.3% compared to 2006. There were 6,038 ultra-high net worth individuals in China, whose assets were beyond US$30 million.

Overall, China's wealthy population possessed 22.3% of wealth in the Asia-Pacific region, second only to Japan. Their aggregate wealth amounted to $2.1 trillion.

Brazil's Visanet Set For World's Biggest IPO So Far In 2009

SAO PAULO (Dow Jones)--The Brazilian capital market will soon mark the return of initial public stock offerings, doing so with a splash, with the world's biggest IPO so far in 2009.

Credit-card networking-services provider Visanet SA this week began the period for investors to reserve shares ahead of the planned start of trading on June 29.

Visanet's IPO should easily eclipse China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd. (1333.HK), which raised $1.27 billion in April, as the world's biggest IPO so far this year.

Visanet is planning to raise between 5.73 billion Brazilian reals ($2.87 billion).

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Northern Trust repays TARP $1.58B

Northern Trust Corp. is officially no longer “bailed out.”

Chicago’s largest bank announced today that it has repaid the federal government $1.58 billion, repurchasing the preferred shares it issued last fall as part of the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP. Northern is one of 10 big U.S. banks exiting the TARP program today.

Northern CEO Rick Waddell said in a release that the program “played a necessary role in helping to stabilize the financial system during a period of crisis, and Northern Trust was proud to participate in the program as a strong, well-capitalized bank. . . .We would like to take this opportunity to once again acknowledge the taxpayers’ support of the financial system during these difficult times.”

Northern isn’t off the hook, however. The Treasury Department still has warrants to buy up to 3.8 million shares of Northern stock at $61.81 per share over the next decade. Northern has informed the department of its desire to repurchase those warrants.

Redemption of the preferred shares will reduce Northern’s second-quarter net income by about $68.6 million, the company said.

CPI Decline Is Biggest Since 1950

Consumer prices fell 1.3% for the year, the largest annual drop since 1950, government says. Prices rose slightly in May.

Actively managed mutual funds outperform S&P 500

Through a three-month rally, actively managed mutual funds have put last year's dismal performance behind them and are posting remarkable results. Through Wednesday, the average U.S. stock mutual fund was up 9.9%, significantly ahead of the S&P 500's 5.3% gain, Morningstar said.

more at

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Lake Shore Asset operator charged in $300M fraud

The managing director of a Chicago-based hedge fund has been charged with swindling hundreds of investors in a $312 million fraud scheme.

A 27-count federal indictment unsealed Monday charged 44-year-old Philip J. Baker with wire fraud, commodities fraud and other offenses.

Baker is a Canadian citizen last known to be living in Germany.

He allegedly told investors in Lake Shore Asset Management that the hedge fund had generated positive returns since 1993 when it actually was losing millions of dollars and hadn't traded at all prior to 2002.

The alleged fraud was first revealed in 2007 when Baker was sued by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission.

CME raising fees on eve of rival's debut

CME Group Inc. has raised trading fees at its futures markets, just as a competitor exchange prepares to open its doors.

The fee changes, described in an 11-page notice on CME’s Web site, reduce prices on some products and raise them on others. Overall, the changes “will result in a minimal increase in revenues/overall rate per contract,” a CME spokesman said. The changes go into effect Aug. 1.

CME’s announcement just before rival ELX Futures L.P.’s planned late-June launch underscores its dominance in the futures-trading world and contrasts sharply with the strategy of a predecessor in dealing with a similar upstart just five years ago.

In 2004, the Chicago Board of Trade — bought by CME last year — cut fees on some products to zero, days before Eurex US was to begin offering trading in Treasury futures. Traders credit the move with preventing the exchange from gaining a foothold.

Since those days, CME has grown significantly, swallowing up not only the CBOT but also the New York Mercantile Exchange, whose fees, already higher than the average fees at CME and the CBOT, won’t change under the new fee schedule. CME’s three exchanges now handle more than 90% of U.S. futures trading.

ELX, based in New York and backed by Wall Street banks and a handful of Chicago trading firms, plans to offer Treasury futures at 9 cents per contract, below CME’s 11-cent average. Richard Repetto, a New York-based Sandler O’Neill analyst who has been following CME and the CBOT since their initial public offerings, said ELX still will face an uphill struggle competing with CME.

“There are other factors besides fees,” Mr. Repetto said, noting that ease of trading at CME might result in overall lower transaction costs.

“Assuming CME’s incumbent volume enables its traders to quote tighter markets, other traders might focus on best execution at a lower tick, rather than trading on an incrementally cheaper platform,” he wrote in a note to investors Tuesday.

CME's new fees will reduce costs for some high-volume Treasury futures traders, a strategy the exchange has used in the past to boost trading and liquidity. "Changes to our fees are reflective of the current market conditions and ongoing changes in our customer base," the CME spokesman said.

Christopher Allen, an analyst for Pali Capital, points out the changes will boost fees for floor-based traders. Overall, he said, they are "at worst, revenue neutral and at best mildly positive to revenue levels."

Complexity of IT merger hinders Morgan Stanley, Citi venture

Merging the information technology systems of Morgan Stanley and Citigroup is proving to be quite complex and is holding up full integration for their joint venture, Morgan Stanley Smith Barney. The situation is frustrating some of the venture's thousands of financial advisers, who are anxious to have both companies' full suite of financial products at their disposal, sources said. "People are working extremely hard to put all the components in place, but it is going to take some time," Morgan Stanley Smith Barney said.

more at

Monday, June 15, 2009

Stock, bond funds see inflow from mutual fund, ETF investors

For the second consecutive month, investors of mutual funds and exchange-traded funds poured more than $50 billion in net inflow into stock and bond funds in May. Investors put $30 billion into bond funds, with $3 billion of that going into ETFs. Stock funds experienced $25 billion in inflow, with $11 billion going into ETFs.

more at

Economic reports this week

This week, the market will be paying close attention to fresh housing activity as well as any hint of inflation when we get the PPI and CPI reports on Tuesday and Wednesday. Any big and unexpected deviation from expectations could have an impact on the overall market.

Date

Time*

Report

6-168:30 am

Housing Starts/Building Permits

6-16 8:30 am Producer Price Index
6-169:15 am Capacity Utilization/Industrial Production
6-178:30 am Consumer Price Index

*All Times Eastern

Sunday, June 14, 2009

Book : The Great Crash 1929

Rampant speculation. Record trading volumes. Assets bought not because of their value but because the buyer believes he can sell them for more in a day or two, or an hour or two. Welcome to the late 1920s. There are obvious and absolute parallels to the great bull market of the late 1990s, writes Galbraith in a new introduction dated 1997. Of course, Galbraith notes, every financial bubble since 1929 has been compared to the Great Crash, which is why this book has never been out of print since it became a bestseller in 1955.

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Corporate Speak Glossary

action item
An urgent task requiring immediate action—from someone else.

as discussed
A phrase used to remind someone of a conversation that has never taken place: “You don’t remember? That’s strange. We definitely discussed it.”

assign ownership
To dump responsibility on someone else as quickly as possible.

at the end of the day
Never mind what happened during the day. What’s important is that no one got indicted.

bandwidth
The total amount of brain space in which you can focus simultaneously on the estimated amount of your bonus and just how many Ferrari 599 GTB Fioranos you will be able to buy with it after taxes.

B.A.U.
“Business as usual,” particularly if your usual business is speaking in acronyms.

best of breed
The best example found in a particular industry or market—but typically, a dog.

best practices
Proper processes, checks, and balances; that is, what should be done as opposed to what is actually done.

brain dump
A modern and elegant way to describe the process of informing another of one’s knowledge on a given topic.

branded
Pre-DCE (dotcom era), this described the status of a steer after a rancher burned his symbol of ownership into the animal’s backside; now connotes how the public perceives a company’s image. In the company’s mind, though, that poor steer will always be you.

bring to the table
To offer something of value, perhaps really put it on the table, but never, ever to leave it there.

buy-in
A last-ditch term to throw into your presentation when management is doing the exact opposite of agreeing or consenting.

C-level
The designation for those at the top of your organizational chart who get private bathrooms.

circle slash
A popular graphic design that can be used to negate anything except, alas, the circle slash itself.

communicate
Four-syllable version of the word say or tell; used when communication is not really the main idea.

core competency
Depending on your company’s stock price at the time, your shareholders describe this as either your ability to run a company or to play a low-scoring round of golf.

critical path
The trail from startup to Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers funding to initial public offering to beachside house on Saint Bart’s.

deal flow
The number of potential deals presented to venture capitalists. The more of these they have, the more readily they can dash your startup dreams.

deck
A new word used in presentations; also lets your audience know you can afford a boat.

deliverables
Stuff you owe your customers before they owe you a lawsuit.

dialogue
A mode of talking in which everyone knows what will be said in advance.

disintermediate

To eliminate the middleman and thereby put countless people out of work.

dress-down Friday
The day your boss pulls out a sweater that cost more than your suit.

drink from the fire hose

To quickly learn all about a topic. The fact that the learner chokes is utterly beside the point.

drink the Kool-Aid
To parrot the company line; not to be confused with “eat your own dog food,” which seems dumber but may actually be a better idea.

driver
The key factor in getting something done; what you can afford when you get enough things done.

elevator pitch
The length of time it takes to pitch someone while traveling in an elevator; for the pitched, however, it can often feel more like a ski-lift story.

empower
The process by which the powerful dribble out bits of power to the powerless.

fast track
A type of professional advancement that leads most quickly to divorce and personal despair.

feature creep
The temptation to keep loading extra features onto a product release until it becomes an absolute mess. This usually happens under the advice of management consultants.

first mover
A nice epitaph for a company that goes bankrupt for being two years ahead of its time.

go-live
Used to describe a product’s release date; anticipated with much fanfare, at least by the folks in marketing.

granular
A level of detail at which I, as a big-picture guy, refuse to become involved.

hard stop
The much feared point at which everyone must stop talking and start doing.

integrated solution

A solution that does not ignore the problem it is meant to address; in other words, a solution.

leverage
The power or influence those with money wield based on their decision whether or not to lend.

low-hanging fruit
The part of a project your boss completes before handing it over to you.

outside the box
Ironically, an expression used most often by people who will never understand it.

overhead
The fixed costs of running a business (such as rent, heat, and electricity) that must be paid, making them very different from your salary.

paradigm shift
What you want your foot to give the V.P. of marketing when he overuses this term.

performance management
You can expect this from board members when the value of their options goes down.

ping
A computer networking term meaning “a quick, pointless query”; has now been popularized to mean an email or text message containing a quick, pointless query.

resource
Traditionally used to describe plants and equipment, but now used to refer to anyone whose job can be done much more cheaply in Bangalore.

rollout
The introduction of a new product to the market; any similarities to toilet paper are completely coincidental.

secret sauce
A supersecret, highly classified business process or method; not to be confused special sauce, the term coined by McDonald’s to refer to a combination of mayonnaise, ketchup, relish, and mustard.

take it offline
The “let’s take this outside” of the business world; often thrown around when people begin to disagree too openly in a large meeting.

team player

An enthusiastic co-worker who some say can’t get hired anywhere else.

upsell

To peddle expensive add-ons to an otherwise useful but inexpensive product.

Friday, June 12, 2009

U.S. Financial Planner Arrested on Fraud Charges

A U.S. money manager who helped start a financial planning firm has been arrested on charges of defrauding clients of millions of dollars by stealing from their accounts, authorities said Wednesday.

NEW YORK - A U.S. money manager who helped start a financial planning firm has been arrested on charges of defrauding clients of millions of dollars by stealing from their accounts, authorities said Wednesday.

Matthew Weitzman, a founder and principal at AFW Wealth Advisors with offices in Purchase, New York, and Natick, Massachusetts, was charged with securities fraud and wire fraud.

He is accused in a criminal complaint, filed in U.S. District Court in Manhattan, of fraudulently obtaining more than $6 million of AFW investor funds and converting them to his own personal use without clients' knowledge.

A lawyer for Weitzman could not immediately be reached for comment.

An AFW representative was also not immediately available. The firm is a fee-only planning firm founded in 1993, according to its website.

In April, New York Times financial writer Ron Lieber wrote a column in the newspaper saying he had used Weitzman as his planner. He said AFW contacted him, saying it had found irregularities in a limited number of client accounts and that the firm had notified authorities.

Lieber wrote in his April column that the firm's email stated that Weitzman was on leave and would have no further contact with client accounts.

SEC charges pair over $80m forex Ponzi scheme

US market regulator the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has charged two Californian men and two companies with running an $80 million Ponzi scheme that targeted investors with guarantees of high returns from foreign currency trading.

According to the watchdog's complaint, Peter Son and Jin Chung deceived around 500 investors in the United States, South Korea and Taiwan between 2003 and the end of 2008 by promising annual returns of up to 36 percent from forex trading.

The pair are alleged to have claimed their companies, SNC Asset Management and SNC Investments had produced 50 per cent annual profits from such trading in each year since 2003.

However, the SEC said they never actually traded on the forex markets.

Instead, it claims Mr Son and Mr Chung used new clients' money to pay "returns" to customers, while also misappropriating their funds for their own personal use.

The regulator said that included making mortgage payments on Mr Son's multi-million dollar California home and paying a salary to his wife for which she did no work.

As part of its complaint, the SEC is seeking an emergency freeze on the defendants' assets.

Taxpayers' return on Citigroup investment beats S&P 500

In February, Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit promised to "make this a profitable investment for the American people." Taxpayers' $45 billion investment in the bank has reaped a 7.5% return. "Anything that they make is positive," said Frederic Dickson, chief market strategist at D.A. Davidson. "After making a huge investment, that seems, on the surface, like a reasonable return for taxpayers."

more at

BlackRock to pay $13.5B for Barclays Global Investors


Money manager BlackRock will become the largest asset manager in the world with its acquisition of Barclays Global Investors. The deal will boost BlackRock's assets under management to about $2.7 trillion. "This is a transformational transaction," said BlackRock CEO Laurence Fink.

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This Day in Wall Street History: 1915 David Rockefeller is born

On this day in 1915, the Rockefellers, one of America's first families of industry and wealth, grew a touch larger with the birth of David Rockefeller. The youngest of five children sired by the imperious oil baron John D. Rockefeller, David ably continued the family tradition of acquiring vast sums of money. Before the dawn of 1941, David had racked up degrees from Harvard, the London of School Economics and the University of Chicago. Following a stint in World War II, Rockefeller started working at the Chase National Bank, which was chaired by his uncle, Winthrop W. Aldrich. David enjoyed a fast rise through the ranks at Chase and was named the bank's vice president in 1952. A few years after his promotion, Rockefeller helped engineer the merger between Chase and the Bank of Manhattan Company. But, befit his name and background, Rockefeller didn't stall as the second in command of the newly formed banking conglomerate: By 1969, he was tabbed to serve as both the chairman of the board and CEO of the Chase Manhattan Bank. A well-traveled expert in international finance, Rockefeller's reign at Chase lasted until the dawn of the 1980s.

source: www.history.com

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

NYSE Euronext to urge stricter regulation of dark pools

Lawmakers are expected to hear testimony today from a NYSE Euronext executive who wants the Securities and Exchange Commission to regulate dark pools like exchanges. Critics have been scrutinizing dark pools because the SEC gave the green light to new order types at BATS Exchange and Nasdaq OMX. The order types route trades through dark pools. SIFMA asked the commission to look more closely at the practice.

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All Nasdaq-listed companies to get research coverage

Nasdaq OMX and Morningstar, an independent research company, entered an agreement that will give the exchange at least some research coverage on all of its listed companies. Hundreds of companies do not receive analyst coverage. "Investors need to be able to access insightful and trusted data and research to make investing decisions," said Bruce Aust, executive vice president of Nasdaq. "Together, Nasdaq OMX and Morningstar are filling a void that has existed for some time, particularly among small- to midcap companies."

more at

Treasury to get at least $50B in initial TARP repayments

The Treasury is expecting to receive at least $50 billion from banks that were approved to exit the Troubled Asset Relief Program, sources said, and as many as 10 banks received approval. While many of the banks are expected to continue tapping other government programs, the repayments indicate the banking sector is seeing significant improvement.

Fund manager admits $80m Ponzi fraud

An investment fund manager has pleaded guilty to charges of fraud and money laundering in relation to an $80 million Ponzi scheme.

Federal prosecutors in Philadelphia said Joseph Forte had duped around 80 investors between 1996 and 2008 by claiming their money would be used to trade stock index futures.

According to the Business Journal, Mr Forte claimed his backers would receive returns of between 18 percent and 38 percent. In reality, he was losing money on his trades and paying out 'returns' using cash from new investors.

Assistant US attorney Joe Kahn told local news service KYW 1060 that Mr Forte had paid himself "millions of dollars in salary" while he was running the scheme and had used investors' cash to buy himself a home and make donations to a number of schools and a church.

Business Journal said he had also used his fabricated profits to secure numerous financial transactions, including taking out a $500,000 loan by misrepresenting the value of his investment firm.

Mr Forte will be sentenced in October.